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Wednesday 22 May 2013

The Rural-Urban Divide in Malaysia’s General Election

by PoliTweet.org

ANALYSIS 108 out of 133 seats won by Barisan Nasional (BN) came from rural seats. 72 out of 89 seats won by Pakatan Rakyat (PR) came from urban and semi-urban seats.
While it is true that PR won every Chinese-majority seat, there are only 30 Chinese-majority seats in the country. That leaves at least 59 seats won with the support of other races.

When comparing Malay-majority seats, PR won more seats than BN in both semi-urban and urban categories. A Malay-majority seat cannot be seen as a guaranteed victory for BN.

In terms of the popular vote, BN obtained 57% of the popular vote in rural seats, 47% of the popular vote in semi-urban seats, and 36% of the popular vote in urban seats. Looking at the winning majorities of individual seats, the probability of BN regaining urban seats is low. This gap in the popular vote is illustrated in the infographics at the end of this post.

That is the picture of the political urban-rural divide. BN represents the rural majority and can retain power with rural and semi-urban seats alone. This election highlighted PR’s weak areas which are rural seats, Bumiputra Sabah majority and Bumiputra Sarawak majority seats.

Read the rest here . . .



2 comments:

Anonymous said...

UMNO REBUKED UNGRATEFUL CHINESE FOR "BETRAYING" MALAY

Majority of urban Chinese did not betray the Malays as they voted for Malays like Anwar and others in PK.

The majority of Chinese chose to vote whom they pleased as is their democratic right.

They don't see any point in voting for useless MCA or SUPP and this means they voted against BN.

They owe BN nothing.

Fernz the Great said...

The Chinese parties in BN are running dogs of Umno. Without them, Umno cannot maintain the fiction that the Malaysian Government is multiracial. In the recent GE, MIC won only because of Malay and Orang Asli votes. Where it lost, even Malay and Orang Asli votes were not enough to save it.