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Thursday 13 June 2013

Najib cannot be faulted for the continuing political instability




 by Joe Fernandez

COMMENT Even in those countries where the Government has popular support, they cannot just simply wag their tails. The people and the media will not stand for it.

In Malaysia, the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) obtained only 47 per cent of the votes cast. If all eligible voters are tallied, this 47 per cent shrinks even further to about 25 per cent. BN won its first 112 seats with just 20 per cent of the votes cast. If all eligible voters are tallied, the 20 per cent shrinks to less than 10 per cent of the eligible voters for the first 112 seats.

That's weaker than weak.

The BN getting 133 seats in Parliament means nothing.

If 23 BN MPs were to flee and form a separate block, and there’s no reason why they shouldn’t to save their political future, the ruling coalition will fall from power. It’s a fact that aspiring candidates among Malays don’t see any point in placing their hopes in Umno where some old fogies and veterans rule the roost.

Politics -- restructuring of political power, and restructuring the allocation of resources -- is the art of the possible, not indulging in wishful thinking and living on hope.

It's all about making history, not watching history happen.

The Malaysian Government, being in a weak position, is in no position to wag its tail. However, old habits die hard.

Sometimes, things happen for no rhyme or reason.

This is one of those moments in time.

Events have taken on a life of their own and are in control. There's no other way to explain the Blackout 505 crowds that turn out. A body in motion tends to stay in motion unless acted upon by external forces.

The 47 per cent that voted for BN, the rural masses, prefer to stand by and watch history being made. Again, the Law of Inertia is at work.

Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak cannot be faulted for the continuing political instability in Malaysia. He's a victim of circumstances. Besides, he’s fighting for his political life.

The longer that a ruling party/coalition stays in power and enforces a kind of artificial stability, the longer the period of instability that follows when such a party falls from power.

Consider the fate of the USSR after 70 years of communist party rule, Yugoslavia after 50 years of Tito, Indonesia after 33 years of Suharto, and the Philippines after 20 years of Marcos.

The BN has been in power 56 years.


Mahathir Mohamad alone was in office 22 years, too long for any one person to be in power.

His departure had seen Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, his successor, being severely tested in the ensuing instability and hounded out of office after seven years.  Mahathir himself played a key role in fomenting this instability.

Badawi completed two years of Mahathir's term, won his own mandate for four years and had to resign after a year into his second term.

Najib faces the same fate. He completed four years of Badawi's second term and has just begun his second term. It will be extremely tough for him to last as long as even Badawi did in office.

Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah may be about reviving the old Umno and burying Mahathir's Umno Baru. This will be his last chance.

He was denied the opportunity to be Prime Minister in 1987 when Judge Harun Hashim, a Malayalee Muslim like Mahathir, declared Umno unlawful instead of discounting the illegal votes and handing him the party presidency.

When I wrote not so long ago about Razaleigh being the Prime Minister, everybody laughed at me.

Now the issue has surfaced as a serious possibility.

If Parti Rakyat Sarawak (6), Sarawak Progressive Democratic Party (4) and Sabah (10) seats get together with Razaleigh (10) seats, this 3rd Force with 30 seats can form the Federal Government with Pakatan Rakyat (89) ... Dap 38, PKR 30, Pas 21.

The Najib faction should throw its support behind Razaleigh so that it can live to fight another day. In 1987, it was Najib who betrayed Razaleigh in his bid for the Umno presidency after he was waylaid by Mahathir operatives. It’s time to make amends.



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1 comment:

Anonymous said...

FREE AND INDEPENDENT SABAH

"Our dearly beloved good people of Sabah and descendants of great and brave Tausug warriors living in Sabah and to the members of the Sabah Pro-Independence Movement who made representations and met our Royal Cabinet Ministers earlier on! Assalamu Alaikum!

This is a special message of greetings and best wishes to the good people of Sabah and to our Beloved Tausug descendants who are sons and daughters of valiant, loyal and courageous Tausug warriors known throughout history as defenders of the Sultanate of Sulu & Sabah, the “Unconquered Kingdom”, who never yielded and never surrendered to the invasion and conquest of Spain.

Sabah and Palawan were gifts by the Sultan of Brunei to the Sultan of Sulu in 1658 when the Sultan of Sulu gave military assistance to quell the rebellion on the island of Borneo by sending Panglima Illijji as commander of the Tausug expeditionary force numbering over 2,500 battle-tested troops against the Spaniards.


In 1878, the royal father of our grandfather, HM Sultan Jamalul Ahlam Kiram, rented Sabah to a British company with the provisions that it could not be transferred to any person, company or nation without the consent of the Sultan of Sulu.

The British took over Malaya and Sabah and continued to pay the rent for Sabah to the Sultan of Sulu. The British left Malaya and Sabah in 1962 but instead of returning the Sabah property to the Sultan of Sulu, it was illegally transferred to Malaysia without the consent of the Sultan of Sulu.

MALAYSIA ILLEGALLY OCCUPIED SABAH SINCE 1963 TO THIS DAY. It was said that a referendum was held for the people of Sabah to join Malaysia but this referendum was unfair and unlawful because Malaysia did not inform and did not give any opportunity to the owners of Sabah namely the Sultan of Sulu and the Sultanate of Sulu to present their side as landowners of Sabah before and during the said referendum.

Therefore, this referendum, being unilateral and one-sided was unlawful and null and void 'ab initio' and had no effect on the land ownership of the Sultan of Sulu and the Sultanate of Sulu over Sabah. Sabah is still the property of the Sultan and the Sultanate of Sulu to this day.

We, His Majesty Sultan Muhammad Fuad Abdulla Kiram I, as The Sultan of Sulu & The Sultan of Sabah, Head of the Sultanate and Head of Islam in the Sultanate of Sulu & Sabah, along with our Royal Family and our Royal Cabinet, support A FREE AND INDEPENDENT SABAH under a Parliamentary Monarchy whereby Members of Parliament are elected by the people of Sabah provided, howsoever, that a free and independent Sabah will be under our reign and our successors according to law of succession as the King of Sabah.

In this proposal, the King of Sabah will reign and the Sabah Parliament will rule and administer services beneficial to all the people of Sabah.

This proposal will finally resolve the Sabah matter because The Sultan of Sulu & The Sultan of Sabah, as lawful owner, has agreed with this compromise solution that will be a win-win position to everyone concerned.

This also means that the resources of Sabah and its gross domestic product, as well as the nearly 1 million barrels of oil pumped per day in Sabah, amounting to USD30 Billion per year, will be utilized for social and economic developments of the beloved people of Sabah.

As per energy report, Sabah contains over 70% of oil reserves of Malaysia today but with this reality, Malaysia (a Muslim nation) dispossessed their Muslim brothers and sisters of their Sabah property without just compensation.

This act of Malaysia is Un-Islamic and against the law of Allah, and must be rejected by good peoples and the international community of nations.

It is, however, necessary that Sabah assists in the much needed social and economic developments of their underprivileged Muslim brothers and sisters in the Sultanate of Sulu and of Mindanao.